Despite the fact that the forecasts – it is very ungrateful, do they still need. After all, it would be difficult to prepare to play as in the case of realization of either scenario. The current balance of power as follows: 1. European and American supporters of the Orange coalition, on the one hand, disappointed in the performance of the orange leaders, on the other – see no other nominations, which would make sense to support it. 2.
Russian opponents of the Orange coalition, clearly hinting that the 'time out', 'the term came to an end', 'patience was over, "etc. 3. The current president, as well as mayors and heads of regional administrations are interested in maintaining its authority, and accordingly – in the election of Viktor Yushchenko for a second term. Given the current system of interest, you can expect the following developments. 1. President Yushchenko will be reelected. In this case, rather likely to achieve this goal will require massive electoral fraud (ballot box stuffing, counting special algorithms, etc.). But in this outcome events of interest to everyone, without exception, "the governors", as they now control the election commissions.
Enough to put the election commission the right people – and they do not even have to give any direct orders: do everything themselves, as they can. 2. After the announcement the results of presidential elections, there are three scenarios: a) mass perturbation of the population in the south and east of the country, and b) the mass acceptance of the existing order of things, and c) the external pressure, including military, to the Ukraine by its neighbors, including from Russia.